Predicting multiple sclerosis from radiologically isolated syndrome using generative artificial intelligence.
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Overview
- UR2CA-URRIS, Université Nice Côte d’Azur, Nice, France
- CRCSEP Nice, Département de Neurologie CHU de Nice Pasteur 2, Nice, France
- GeodAIsics. Biopolis - La Tronche, France
- Department of Neurology, Neuroinnovation Program and Multiple Sclerosis and Neuroimmunology Imaging Program, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, United States of America
- Peter O’Donnell Brain Institute, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, United States of America
Abstract
Radiologically Isolated Syndrome (RIS) is characterized by incidental MRI findings indicative of multiple sclerosis (MS) in asymptomatic individuals. Factors such as younger age, positive cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers, and specific lesion locations have been previously linked to a higher risk of conversion from RIS to clinical MS. Predicting which individuals will develop clinical MS remains challenging. Based on widely available cross-sectional patient studies, unsupervised machine learning has been proposed to uncover MRI-driven MS phenotypes with distinct temporal progression patterns. We evaluated whether an unsupervised artificial intelligence framework based on generative manifold learning could stratify RIS patients by conversion risk. BrainGML-MS analyzed imaging biomarkers and generated individualized digital twins from MRI data. We studied 152 RIS individuals (32 converters, RIS-C), 152 MS patients, and 152 healthy controls. The model identified four RIS clusters with distinct five-year conversion risks ranging from 10% to 39%. The brain age gap increased progressively from healthy controls to RIS non-converters, RIS-C, and MS. RIS converters showed greater structural atrophy and greater similarity to MS profiles. These findings indicate that MRI-derived brain aging biomarkers and structural deviations measured at the first RIS scan may improve early risk stratification and support clinical decision-making in preclinical MS.
Reproduced under the paper's license (CC BY), from the paper cited above.
Repository
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Geodaisics-code/ScoRIS
ee34796c51eaa9c0002fab60a3d6976e2b00450f, 17 February 2026Availability: 1 check, the latest on 30 September 2026: the link answers
- 30 September 2026: the link answers
The paper's code and data availability statement is in the Data section.
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Data
Datasets cited
- github.com/
volbrain/ , at github.com; found in “Data Availability”assemblynet
Data Availability
We used 3D T1-weighted MRI data from nine publicly available databases covering the entire lifespan. https://
Reproduced under the paper's license (CC BY), from the paper cited above.
Versions
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Version 1, 30 September 2026: the first record
Recorded: type, language, journal, volume, issue, pages, dates, 8 authors, 31 references.
Cite
This paper
Lebrun-Frenay, C., Renard, F., Mondot, L., Landes-Chateau, C., Stewart, A., Cohen, M., Okuda, D. T., & Attyé, A. (2026). Predicting multiple sclerosis from radiologically isolated syndrome using generative artificial intelligence. PLOS digital health, 5(4), e0001374. https://
BibTeX
@article{lebrunfrenay202
author = {Lebrun-Frenay, Christine and Renard, Felix and Mondot, Lydiane and Landes-Chateau, Cassandre and Stewart, Adeline and Cohen, Mikael and Okuda, Darin T. and Attyé, Arnaud},
title = {{Predicting multiple sclerosis from radiologically isolated syndrome using generative artificial intelligence}},
journal = {PLOS digital health},
year = {2026},
month = apr,
volume = {5},
number = {4},
pages = {e0001374},
publisher = {PLOS},
issn = {2767-3170},
doi = {10.1371/
url = {https://
pmid = {42030332},
pmcid = {PMC13108761}
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
AU - Lebrun-Frenay, Christine
AU - Renard, Felix
AU - Mondot, Lydiane
AU - Landes-Chateau, Cassandre
AU - Stewart, Adeline
AU - Cohen, Mikael
AU - Okuda, Darin T.
AU - Attyé, Arnaud
TI - Predicting multiple sclerosis from radiologically isolated syndrome using generative artificial intelligence
T2 - PLOS digital health
J2 - PLOS Digit Health
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/
VL - 5
IS - 4
SP - e0001374
SN - 2767-3170
PB - PLOS
DO - 10.1371/
UR - https://
LA - en
ER -
CSL-JSON
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